The blessing
Jacob was dying. He called his twelve sons around him and spoke over each one. To Judah, he said this:
"The sceptre shall not be taken away from Juda, nor a ruler from his thigh, till he come that is to be sent, and he shall be the expectation of nations."
Genesis 49:10 · around 1800 BC
A sceptre is the staff a king holds. Judah would keep its rule, its right to govern itself, until one particular person arrived: the one "to be sent," the one the whole world would be waiting for.
Ancient Jewish teachers read it as a prophecy of the Messiah.
The clock is set
That makes Genesis 49:10 a deadline. The Messiah had to come before Judah lost its sceptre.
And Judah kept it for a very long time. King David came from Judah, and his family ruled for four centuries. After the exile, Judah's rulers, its high council and its courts still governed the people under foreign empires.
The sceptre is taken
Then, in AD 6, Rome removed Archelaus, the son of Herod who ruled Judea. From then on, Judea was ruled directly by a Roman governor (Josephus, Antiquities 17.13).
Jewish tradition remembers what followed. The Jerusalem Talmud records that around forty years before the Temple was destroyed, the power to judge capital cases was taken away from Israel (Sanhedrin 1:1).
You can see it in the Gospels. When the leaders brought Jesus to Pilate, they couldn't execute him themselves:
"The Jews, therefore, said to him; It is not lawful for us to put any man to death."
John 18:31
No king but Caesar
And then, at the end of the trial, the chief priests said the words that sealed it:
"Pilate saith to them; Shall I crucify your king? The chief priests answered; We have no king but Caesar."
John 19:15
The sceptre had passed from Judah. And standing in front of them, being sent to the cross, was the one Jacob had said would come before it did.
Why this is a big deal
Genesis 49:10 doesn't just say the Messiah will come. It says when: before Judah loses its rule.
Judah lost its rule in Jesus' lifetime. Forty years after the cross, the Temple was gone too. If the Messiah hadn't come by then, the deadline had passed.
He came in time. "And he shall be the expectation of nations." Today, billions of people from every nation on earth worship him.